I’m going to quote myself from spring, summer, and fall when I attempted to make seasonal forecasts: “Forecasting for a season is perhaps the most difficult, and as the public knows, most unreliable product put out by any group be it those, for example, from NOAA or people putting together The Old Farmers Almanac. If farmers, power companies, construction […]
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October 2017 U.S. Climate and Record Statistics
This will be an open thread for U.S. record temperature and climate statistics, which I will add to once more information crosses my radar. October 2017 was another warmer than average month for the U.S. Here are the ranked temperature averages per state. A ranking of 1 would be the coldest since 1895 and 123 […]
Recipe for a Climate Change Disaster
By now there are numerous articles and posts concerning the ongoing California wildfire disaster, which is the worst in that state’s history. The links to climate change are obvious, but I can add some simple statistics helping to cement claims of attribution. Let’s look at the three steps that led to this tragedy. First there […]
Updated Streak Dissection
Six months ago I began to dig more into National Center for Environmental Information data in relation to the record long “streak” of consecutive months of more daily high records than lows across the U.S. I posted information here: http://www.guyonclimate.com/2017/04/09/streaking-past-a-tipping-point/ and here: http://www.guyonclimate.com/2017/04/12/streak-dissection/ As of September 2017 the streak has reached 34 months starting in […]
Tropical Cyclone Land Interactions… A Proposal
The worst hurricanes in the Atlantic Basin, so far, have made catastrophic landfalls. Two of them, Irma and Maria, took interesting paths from a research standpoint, that I’ll point out. In the original 1960s Star Trek there was an episode involving a “doomsday” automated planet killer machine that Captain Kirk figured out how to stop […]
Forecasting a Warm? Fall 2017
I’m going to quote myself from late spring when I attempted to make a summer forecast: “Forecasting for a season is perhaps the most difficult, and as the public knows, most unreliable product put out by any group be it those, for example, from NOAA or people putting together The Old Farmers Almanac. If farmers, power companies, construction companies, those […]
Carbon Damage Tax
Here’s a novel idea that popped into my brain in association with the catastrophes called Harvey, Irma, and Maria. Yeah, I know that this won’t pass Congress anytime soon, so this proposal is just food for fodder and debate. Why not put a damage tax on all oil and coal companies operating in the United […]
The Global Thermostat
Remember the story of the Three Bears in which after tasting two bowls of porridge, one too hot and one too cold, Goldilocks gulped down a third that was just right? Astronomers these days often refer to the “Goldilocks Zone” in which life as we know it can exist not only in this solar system […]
June 2017 Record Temperature Count Summary
Ok. That “streak” of consecutive months of more daily record highs than daily record lows for the U.S. is now up to 31 in the National Center for Environmental Information is up to 31. So what other trends in the June 2017 numbers can we spot? When we start breaking down the numbers that trend […]
Summer 2017 Heat Diary… Log 5… June 24-30
Friday June 30th… Dear diary. It is the end of June so one third of meteorological summer is in the rear view mirror. Time flies! At the end of June it is time to take stock on record statistics with climate change ramifications. I’ll put out a separate post in early July as a June 2017 climate summary […]